Appreciate that Nevada at least made the footnotes. I understand the Electoral College calculation that determines Nevada could be expendable to a Democratic win, but I fear the trend of election observers writing it off. Of course I'm biased, having worked the last three elections in that state.
I was heartened to read this post by you! I’m curious about your take on this polling by the No Labels party: https://www.nolabels.org/new polling . They make it look very dire for Biden. Politico also suggests the outcome of adding a 3rd-party candidate may be no one wins in Electoral College & the decision gets tossed to the House for a vote. (Which, given the current House would almost certainly ensure a Trump win.) Does the polling by groups such as No Labels fall under your same analysis about polling?
I would not pay any attention to their polling - it was undertaken to prove their points and help them fundraise. They offer absolutely no transparency into what they did. Beyond that everything I wrote about media polls is even more true of their.
Gosh, it’s such a relief to read your reply; thanks! It’s bad enough to worry about 2 parties. Adding a 3rd one ups the ante. I am deeply appreciated your work on the last election; thank you so much. As a result I found your posts here, which bring a more informed perspective. Much needed in these dicey times.
"While the mainstream media cannot tell us what to think about this or that issue, it has a powerful influence on what we think ABOUT... The media’s focus on polling steals oxygen from coverage of why an election matters. And it saps our agency as voters by creating a false sense of inevitability about the final outcome." >>>Any election within the margin of error is also within the margin of effort!
Appreciate that Nevada at least made the footnotes. I understand the Electoral College calculation that determines Nevada could be expendable to a Democratic win, but I fear the trend of election observers writing it off. Of course I'm biased, having worked the last three elections in that state.
I was heartened to read this post by you! I’m curious about your take on this polling by the No Labels party: https://www.nolabels.org/new polling . They make it look very dire for Biden. Politico also suggests the outcome of adding a 3rd-party candidate may be no one wins in Electoral College & the decision gets tossed to the House for a vote. (Which, given the current House would almost certainly ensure a Trump win.) Does the polling by groups such as No Labels fall under your same analysis about polling?
I would not pay any attention to their polling - it was undertaken to prove their points and help them fundraise. They offer absolutely no transparency into what they did. Beyond that everything I wrote about media polls is even more true of their.
Gosh, it’s such a relief to read your reply; thanks! It’s bad enough to worry about 2 parties. Adding a 3rd one ups the ante. I am deeply appreciated your work on the last election; thank you so much. As a result I found your posts here, which bring a more informed perspective. Much needed in these dicey times.
Thank you!
It’s so good to find some humor in with the dreadful news.
Making sense out of nonsense. Thank you.
N Klein
Thanks!
Read Tim Miller’s book “Why We Did It”
https://www.amazon.com/Why-We-Did-Travelogue-Republican/dp/B09HL6LGSQ/ref=mp_s_a_1_1?crid=3PRA6Z944K6GG&keywords=why+we+did+it&qid=1695385998&sprefix=why+we+d%2Caps%2C192&sr=8-1
Polling & influencing public opinion is too lucrative. And corporations like the media only care about profits, not actually informing anyone.
I feel saner already!
"While the mainstream media cannot tell us what to think about this or that issue, it has a powerful influence on what we think ABOUT... The media’s focus on polling steals oxygen from coverage of why an election matters. And it saps our agency as voters by creating a false sense of inevitability about the final outcome." >>>Any election within the margin of error is also within the margin of effort!