If I remember correctly some of your earlier posts, you put an emphasis on how voters voted in 2020 and the durability of party/candidate preference from one election cycle to the next. But, I'm struck by how the Selzer poll most notably, and others to a lesser extent, have captured what appears to be a change in voter preference, especially among Republican women. What do you look for in polling methodology that can best capture change in voter preference, which seems to me (hopefully) to be a big factor in this election.
Michael,
If I remember correctly some of your earlier posts, you put an emphasis on how voters voted in 2020 and the durability of party/candidate preference from one election cycle to the next. But, I'm struck by how the Selzer poll most notably, and others to a lesser extent, have captured what appears to be a change in voter preference, especially among Republican women. What do you look for in polling methodology that can best capture change in voter preference, which seems to me (hopefully) to be a big factor in this election.
Who the hell has time for reading today? Back to the phone bank!