Super interesting as always. The colors in the quad generation-region graph have to be off? I'm pretty sure boomers don't make ~10% of the electorate while silent makes up ~30% 😁
RE: "that happened because they are fundamentally two different political ecosystems – two nations, as I’ve described them."
Your description of "two nations" aligns with the two family models discovered by Professor George Lakoff, a cognitive liguist, who wondered why progressives and concervatives adhere to specific sets of policies and beliefs.
There is also the research by Riane Eisler and Douglas P. Fry on human history of Domination and Partnership:
"On one end is the domination system that ranks man over man, man over woman, race over race, and man over nature. On the other end is the more peaceful, egalitarian, gender-balanced, and sustainable partnership system."
Well, I am impressed. It seems that your recent pieces have so upset The Tilt's Nate Cohn that he has devoted his entire article today to rebutting your analytics, only grudgingly acknowledging "turnout" as a real thing and defiantly not going to mention the name Podhorzer in any context whatsoever. You certainly seem to have upset his apple cart! After throwing everything at the wall against your analysis, his culminating argument is to resort to the gold standard of all polling - exits. Congratulations.
Will voter suppression have enough impact to change the basic patterns, particularly in the critical purple states? Thanks for the enlightening analysis.
Fascinating analysis! Simon Rosenberg in his Hopium podcast makes a similar point (although with less demographic heft) that purple states need to get young people to register to vote - and then get them to the polls!
I hope the trend of newly engaged voters does lean Dem. My one hesitation is party registration trends as tracked by John Couvillon on twitter consistently show movement to the GOP, even in swing states.
RE: "that happened because they are fundamentally two different political ecosystems – two nations, as I’ve described them."
Your description of "two nations" aligns with the two family models discovered by Professor George Lakoff, a cognitive liguist, who wondered why progressives and concervatives adhere to specific sets of policies and beliefs.
Super interesting as always. The colors in the quad generation-region graph have to be off? I'm pretty sure boomers don't make ~10% of the electorate while silent makes up ~30% 😁
RE: "that happened because they are fundamentally two different political ecosystems – two nations, as I’ve described them."
Your description of "two nations" aligns with the two family models discovered by Professor George Lakoff, a cognitive liguist, who wondered why progressives and concervatives adhere to specific sets of policies and beliefs.
https://the-wawg-blog.org/family-models-and-the-market-more-on-our-two-political-worldviews/
There is also the research by Riane Eisler and Douglas P. Fry on human history of Domination and Partnership:
"On one end is the domination system that ranks man over man, man over woman, race over race, and man over nature. On the other end is the more peaceful, egalitarian, gender-balanced, and sustainable partnership system."
https://rianeeisler.com/nurturing-our-humanity-how-domination-and-partnership-shape-our-brains-lives-and-future/
Well, I am impressed. It seems that your recent pieces have so upset The Tilt's Nate Cohn that he has devoted his entire article today to rebutting your analytics, only grudgingly acknowledging "turnout" as a real thing and defiantly not going to mention the name Podhorzer in any context whatsoever. You certainly seem to have upset his apple cart! After throwing everything at the wall against your analysis, his culminating argument is to resort to the gold standard of all polling - exits. Congratulations.
Paul Master-Karnik, PhD, Rowayton, CT
Will voter suppression have enough impact to change the basic patterns, particularly in the critical purple states? Thanks for the enlightening analysis.
Fascinating analysis! Simon Rosenberg in his Hopium podcast makes a similar point (although with less demographic heft) that purple states need to get young people to register to vote - and then get them to the polls!
I hope the trend of newly engaged voters does lean Dem. My one hesitation is party registration trends as tracked by John Couvillon on twitter consistently show movement to the GOP, even in swing states.
RE: "that happened because they are fundamentally two different political ecosystems – two nations, as I’ve described them."
Your description of "two nations" aligns with the two family models discovered by Professor George Lakoff, a cognitive liguist, who wondered why progressives and concervatives adhere to specific sets of policies and beliefs.
https://the-wawg-blog.org/family-models-and-the-market-more-on-our-two-political-worldviews/
RE: Turnout Eras chart: "Turnout in the last three elections has literally been off the charts."
Lots of great information. Sharing widely.
Here is a link to a similar Turnout Era chart that goes back to the late 1700s:
https://www.electproject.org/national-1789-present
Sure hope this is true
Guess those young'uns a lot smarter than the ole geezers. Said as an ole geezer. Thanks for the lesson.
v