Well, I am impressed. It seems that your recent pieces have so upset The Tilt's Nate Cohn that he has devoted his entire article today to rebutting your analytics, only grudgingly acknowledging "turnout" as a real thing and defiantly not going to mention the name Podhorzer in any context whatsoever. You certainly seem to have upset his apple cart! After throwing everything at the wall against your analysis, his culminating argument is to resort to the gold standard of all polling - exits. Congratulations.
Super interesting as always. The colors in the quad generation-region graph have to be off? I'm pretty sure boomers don't make ~10% of the electorate while silent makes up ~30% 😁
Too few & too late I fear. Buyers remorse is no comfort when you have sold your country into destitution & ignominy because you were too intellectually lazy to think beyond a red baseball cap slogan.
sharingdoing all of this work to give us this information!
Even if this last election was not stolen, we have got to do something about our future elections (given the past histories of fascists) We must pressure our elected leaders to demand full and honest audits on our elections! Our elections are not audited thoroughly, and some nit at all! (Nevada audited 220 ballots total in 2024) The future of Democracy is at stake here...this is not a drill!
I hope the trend of newly engaged voters does lean Dem. My one hesitation is party registration trends as tracked by John Couvillon on twitter consistently show movement to the GOP, even in swing states.
RE: "that happened because they are fundamentally two different political ecosystems – two nations, as I’ve described them."
Your description of "two nations" aligns with the two family models discovered by Professor George Lakoff, a cognitive liguist, who wondered why progressives and concervatives adhere to specific sets of policies and beliefs.
There is also the research by Riane Eisler and Douglas P. Fry on human history of Domination and Partnership:
"On one end is the domination system that ranks man over man, man over woman, race over race, and man over nature. On the other end is the more peaceful, egalitarian, gender-balanced, and sustainable partnership system."
Fascinating analysis! Simon Rosenberg in his Hopium podcast makes a similar point (although with less demographic heft) that purple states need to get young people to register to vote - and then get them to the polls!
Yes indeed. There's not enough understood about voter apathy & the younger generations specifically. 'Disillusion' is too glib & I think there's a deeper malaise at work that goes beyond party politics per se to a feeling of being politically & socially disenfranchised driven by events eg Roe vs Wade, immigration policies, with barely any middle ground & of course huge economic inequities by demographic group & race & overt racism itself. These are matters of personal values & witnessing their erosion on a daily basis supercedes Republicans vs Democrats & instead goes to despair about emerging national identity & an individuals place in society. A country founded on sound moral principles is abandoning them & it is spiritually equivalent to 'losing one's religion'.
Read only portions of this piece. But it appears to be excellent, detailed work. But here’s the issue for the author and for those sharing comments about how “we’ll get ‘em next time”.
There is not going to be a next time.
Even in these short few months since Trump was sworn in, the trajectory of your country is becoming obvious, towards totalitarianism.
Americans (inaccurate) belief in American exceptionalism has helped to get you here (this sort of thing only happens in ‘shit-hole’ countries), but it’s a lot more complicated than that and I’m no expert.
I’m just pointing out the obvious. You need to find a way to protect your voting systems. Good luck.
And the COUP continues: trumpet rigged the 2024 election with the help of muskito to avoid not crossing go and be sent directly to jail without cashing 200 million dollars…
🫣
🫵 YOU 🫵
⬇️
⚠️THEY STOLE THE ELECTION⚠️
⚠️THEY ARE ILLEGITIMATE⚠️
⚠️WE OWE THEM SHIT⚠️
⬇️
WE REALLY need to do something here…
⬇️
Either we share this PDF with Senators, House Reps, Governors, Police, Military, Defense Groups, Election Officials and ALL our Contacts, OR WE’RE FUCKED UP!
Student demonstrations challenged by Trump: Trump just threatened student protestors with eliminating funding for their schools See the tweet he wrote today EVERY ALUM AND STUDENT SHOULD WRITE TO THEIR ALUMNI NEWSPAPER. it is time for students (and alums) to stand up against Trumps audacity.
This is probably correct. But they didn’t show up in arguably the most important election in at least the last century. IF, and I don’t believe this is hyperbole, IF we have real elections in 2 or 4 years, I hope they have learned that sitting out doesn’t protect you from the consequences of refusing to choose.
Keep up the fight to ride our country of these people who believe mobey can but you anything . It can’t buy you compassion for your fellow American. Why not use some of that mobey to feed and care for the under privileged children of America instead of beating them down and inflicting starvation and illness on them. Karam is a bitch I hope they see it in their future.
The best thing you can do besides calling your representatives is tell your Republican neighbors that Elon Musk now has ACCESS to their Social Security number, their BANK account, and all of their financial information. Tell your Republican neighbors tell your Republican friends tell everyone.
Well, I am impressed. It seems that your recent pieces have so upset The Tilt's Nate Cohn that he has devoted his entire article today to rebutting your analytics, only grudgingly acknowledging "turnout" as a real thing and defiantly not going to mention the name Podhorzer in any context whatsoever. You certainly seem to have upset his apple cart! After throwing everything at the wall against your analysis, his culminating argument is to resort to the gold standard of all polling - exits. Congratulations.
Paul Master-Karnik, PhD, Rowayton, CT
Where were they on voting day?
Super interesting as always. The colors in the quad generation-region graph have to be off? I'm pretty sure boomers don't make ~10% of the electorate while silent makes up ~30% 😁
Matt - thanks! The legend was mispasted - corrected now
Too few & too late I fear. Buyers remorse is no comfort when you have sold your country into destitution & ignominy because you were too intellectually lazy to think beyond a red baseball cap slogan.
Thank you for s
sharingdoing all of this work to give us this information!
Even if this last election was not stolen, we have got to do something about our future elections (given the past histories of fascists) We must pressure our elected leaders to demand full and honest audits on our elections! Our elections are not audited thoroughly, and some nit at all! (Nevada audited 220 ballots total in 2024) The future of Democracy is at stake here...this is not a drill!
I hope the trend of newly engaged voters does lean Dem. My one hesitation is party registration trends as tracked by John Couvillon on twitter consistently show movement to the GOP, even in swing states.
If the independent voters break heavily for the Dems than the registration disparity isn't as big of a deal. Still worth monitoring for sure.
@Tim Miller you need to get Mike on the podcast.
RE: "that happened because they are fundamentally two different political ecosystems – two nations, as I’ve described them."
Your description of "two nations" aligns with the two family models discovered by Professor George Lakoff, a cognitive liguist, who wondered why progressives and concervatives adhere to specific sets of policies and beliefs.
https://the-wawg-blog.org/family-models-and-the-market-more-on-our-two-political-worldviews/
There is also the research by Riane Eisler and Douglas P. Fry on human history of Domination and Partnership:
"On one end is the domination system that ranks man over man, man over woman, race over race, and man over nature. On the other end is the more peaceful, egalitarian, gender-balanced, and sustainable partnership system."
https://rianeeisler.com/nurturing-our-humanity-how-domination-and-partnership-shape-our-brains-lives-and-future/
Fascinating analysis! Simon Rosenberg in his Hopium podcast makes a similar point (although with less demographic heft) that purple states need to get young people to register to vote - and then get them to the polls!
Yes indeed. There's not enough understood about voter apathy & the younger generations specifically. 'Disillusion' is too glib & I think there's a deeper malaise at work that goes beyond party politics per se to a feeling of being politically & socially disenfranchised driven by events eg Roe vs Wade, immigration policies, with barely any middle ground & of course huge economic inequities by demographic group & race & overt racism itself. These are matters of personal values & witnessing their erosion on a daily basis supercedes Republicans vs Democrats & instead goes to despair about emerging national identity & an individuals place in society. A country founded on sound moral principles is abandoning them & it is spiritually equivalent to 'losing one's religion'.
as Dems!
Read only portions of this piece. But it appears to be excellent, detailed work. But here’s the issue for the author and for those sharing comments about how “we’ll get ‘em next time”.
There is not going to be a next time.
Even in these short few months since Trump was sworn in, the trajectory of your country is becoming obvious, towards totalitarianism.
Americans (inaccurate) belief in American exceptionalism has helped to get you here (this sort of thing only happens in ‘shit-hole’ countries), but it’s a lot more complicated than that and I’m no expert.
I’m just pointing out the obvious. You need to find a way to protect your voting systems. Good luck.
👇
And the COUP continues: trumpet rigged the 2024 election with the help of muskito to avoid not crossing go and be sent directly to jail without cashing 200 million dollars…
🫣
🫵 YOU 🫵
⬇️
⚠️THEY STOLE THE ELECTION⚠️
⚠️THEY ARE ILLEGITIMATE⚠️
⚠️WE OWE THEM SHIT⚠️
⬇️
WE REALLY need to do something here…
⬇️
Either we share this PDF with Senators, House Reps, Governors, Police, Military, Defense Groups, Election Officials and ALL our Contacts, OR WE’RE FUCKED UP!
⬇️
It’s as fucking simple as that!
⬇️
WE NEED TO SHARE THIS PDF:
⬇️
➡️➡️➡️https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/cnfhgispz8ldgzubdh6a0/2024-USA-ELECTION-FRAUD-PRESIDENCY.pdf?rlkey=epj05do03qhflx5v0tbfinlmf&⬅️⬅️⬅️
Here’s a sneak peek of what you’ll find inside:
I STRONGLY suggest you take a look at this as well: https://substack.com/@zorhasbsfreezone/note/p-158250381?r=58o4ii&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
Student demonstrations challenged by Trump: Trump just threatened student protestors with eliminating funding for their schools See the tweet he wrote today EVERY ALUM AND STUDENT SHOULD WRITE TO THEIR ALUMNI NEWSPAPER. it is time for students (and alums) to stand up against Trumps audacity.
We march!!!! RISE UP!
NOWMARCH.org
This is probably correct. But they didn’t show up in arguably the most important election in at least the last century. IF, and I don’t believe this is hyperbole, IF we have real elections in 2 or 4 years, I hope they have learned that sitting out doesn’t protect you from the consequences of refusing to choose.
Keep up the fight to ride our country of these people who believe mobey can but you anything . It can’t buy you compassion for your fellow American. Why not use some of that mobey to feed and care for the under privileged children of America instead of beating them down and inflicting starvation and illness on them. Karam is a bitch I hope they see it in their future.
‼️TELL YOUR REPUBLICAN NEIGHBORS & COWORKERS‼️
EVEN IF YOU ARE UNCOMFORTABLE
The best thing you can do besides calling your representatives is tell your Republican neighbors that Elon Musk now has ACCESS to their Social Security number, their BANK account, and all of their financial information. Tell your Republican neighbors tell your Republican friends tell everyone.